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Consumers fell prey to inflation that remains high, especially for life’s necessities like food and gasoline, according to the latest monthly survey from the University of Michigan. The consumer sentiment survey fell by 7% overall to 63 from 68.1 in September, while the current conditions reading dropped to 66.7 from 71.4 and the future expectations was at 60.7, down from 66 a month ago. Notably, expectations for the annual rate of inflation a year from now rose to 3.8% from 3.2% in September. “Assessments of personal finances declined about 15%, primarily on a substantial increase in concerns over inflation, and one-year expected business conditions plunged about 19%,” said Joanne Hsu, survey director. “Owners remain pessimistic about future business conditions, which has contributed to the low optimism they have regarding the economy,” said Bill Dunkelberg, NFIB chief economist.

Persons: ”, Joanne Hsu, Sam Bullard, Joe Brusuelas, Tuan Nguyen, NFIB, Bill Dunkelberg, JP Morgan Chase, Jamie Dimon Organizations: University of Michigan, Monetary Fund, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Wells Locations: U.S, Washington

☆ The days of rising interest rates could soon be over
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

What’s happening: US Treasury rates are white hot — 10-year Treasury yields are near their highest levels since 2007. It also means more expensive mortgage rates. Mortgage rates tend to track the yield on 10-year US Treasuries. When Treasury yields go up, so do mortgage rates; when they go down, mortgage rates tend to follow. US mortgage rates are at 23 year-highs, and home affordability is at its lowest level since 1984.

Persons: haven’t, Philip Jefferson, ” That’s, Lorie Logan, Raphael Bostic, ”, “, ” Bostic, Mary Daly, Bonds, What’s, Birkenstock, Elisabeth Buchwald, Megan Penick, Robinson, Rachel Ramirez, It’s, they’re Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Financial, CME, Treasury, New York Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Consumer, Dallas, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, American Bankers Association, San Francisco Fed, Index, PPI, CPI, New York Stock Exchange, Renaissance, Nature Communications Locations: New York, Germany, Czech Republic, Slovenia

REUTERS/Clodagh Kilcoyne/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 10 (Reuters) - Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic on Tuesday said the U.S. central bank need not raise borrowing costs any further, and sees no recession ahead even as the Fed's rate hikes so far slow the economy and bring down inflation. "I actually don't think we need to increase rates anymore" to get too-high inflation back down to the Fed's 2% goal, Bostic told the American Bankers Association, to applause. Policy is sufficiently restrictive, and "a lot" of the impact of the Fed's rate hikes so far is clearly yet to come, he said. The conflict between Israel and the Palestinian militant group Hamas which broke out over the weekend creates uncertainty for the United States and the global economy, Bostic said, noting that it will cause rethinking on markets and investments. If data comes in differently from what he expects, Bostic said "we might have to increase (the Fed policy rate), but that's not my outlook right now, and that's not my expectation."

Persons: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Raphael, Bostic, Clodagh, Raphael Bostic, that's, Ann Saphir, Emelia Sithole Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, REUTERS, Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank, American Bankers Association, Palestinian, Hamas, Thomson Locations: Dublin, Ireland, U.S, Israel, United States, Ukraine

It needs to translate into changes in economic outcomes," Bostic said in comments to reporters alongside the release of a new policy essay. Part of that adaptation is how the Fed's short-term benchmark is translated ultimately into mortgage rates, corporate bonds yields, and other securities that influence economic activity. In separate comments, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said she similarly is watching how the rise in bond yields will play out, even though she feels the Fed's policy rate still needs to rise. It may well be that the Fed's hawkish rate posture is no longer the primary impetus for the rise in yields. Reporting by Howard Schneider and Dan Burns; Editing by Andrea RicciOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Raphael, Bostic, Clodagh, Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester, Mester, Torsten Slok, Slok, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Atlanta Federal Reserve, U.S, Cleveland Fed, Apollo Global Management, Reuters, Fitch, Treasury Department, Bank of, Thomson Locations: Dublin, Ireland, Atlanta, China, York

It needs to translate into changes in economic outcomes," Bostic said in comments to reporters. "I don't think the degree of response to date has been out of bounds" of what would happen "in an ordinary tightening cycle." But even though he agreed that recent jumps in long-term yields have been unusual, Bostic joined several of his colleagues in downplaying their relevance to policy - at least so far. "There is a lot going on and I cannot say I have all the answers," Bostic said. The things we are looking at is the pace at which the economy slows," not the rates themselves.

Persons: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Raphael, Bostic, Clodagh, Raphael Bostic, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Atlanta Fed, Thomson Locations: Dublin, Ireland, U.S, China

☆ Fed's Bostic sees no 'urgency' to raise rates again, but cuts a long way off
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

FILE PHOTO:President and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Raphael Bostic speaks at the South African Reserve Bank's Biennial Conference in the Cape Town International Convention Centre, South Africa, August 31, 2023. "I don't think there is an urgency for us to do anything more ... I think that is the appropriate thing to do for a long time," Bostic said. The current policy rate "is starting to slow the economy down. Recent data showing a decline in the underlying pace of inflation is expected by many investors to hold the benchmark policy rate steady.

Persons: Raphael Bostic, Esa Alexander, Bostic, Let's, Howard Schneider, Andrew Heavens, Will Dunham Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, South African, Bank's, Cape Town International Convention Centre, REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Metro Atlanta Chamber, Federal, Fed, Thomson Locations: South Africa, Atlanta

The Federal Reserve, as expected, left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday while raising forecasts for economic growth and lowering them for unemployment next year. “Job gains have slowed in recent months but remain strong, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated.”The central bank updated its forecasts for economic growth, unemployment and inflation. The GDPNow estimate from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta is now pegging economic growth in the third quarter at 4.9%. But it would likely curb economic growth at a time when the Fed’s policies have restricted credit and other government stimulus is waning.

Persons: “, ” Powell, ”, Powell, Andrew Patterson, Ruslan Lienkha, Victor Li, Jeff MacDonald, Joe Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, ”, Villanova University, Federal Reserve Bank of, GOP Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, U.S, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Raphael Bostic, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta and a member of the Fed’s interest rate policy committee, doesn't think another hike is needed. Our rate today is higher than the rate of inflation. I’m going to remain diligent and pay attention and make sure that inflation continues on the trajectory that it’s been on. A. We’re going to have to keep our rate higher for longer than historically happens, because we need to make sure that inflation stays at 2%. We’re just going to have to stay restrictive for quite a while, until we are sure, sure, sure, sure, sure, sure that inflation is not going to bounce up far away from our target.

Persons: Raphael Bostic, doesn't, Bostic, we’re, I’ve, I’m, we’ve, We’re Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Associated Press, Fed

☆ Morning Bid: A sticky inflation situation
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

With a relentless set of rate hikes, the Federal Reserve has managed to drive consumer price increases down to 3%, from last June's 9.1%. The Atlanta Fed compiles an index of core sticky consumer prices - goods or services for which the cost changes far more slowly. Reuters GraphicsLine chart with data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and Federal Reserve shows PCE inflation slowed to 3% year-on-year in June, while core PCE inflation also eased to 4.2%. Chart shows economists polled by Reuters expecting the U.S. consumer price index to have increased 0.2% in July 2023 from the previous month, the same pace as June 2023. * Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic gives welcome remarks at a webinar, 1500 EDT/1900 GMT.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Amanda Cooper, they're, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, American Automobile Association, Federal Reserve Bank, Cleveland, Atlanta Fed, Reuters Graphics, Reuters, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Yahoo Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Manheim

☆ Just 10% plan to wait until age 70 to claim Social Security, survey finds. Why experts say it's often best to delay
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Maryviolet | Istock | Getty ImagesResearch suggests it's best to hold off on claiming Social Security retirement benefits until age 70, if possible, to get the biggest monthly payments available to you. That includes 17% of respondents ages 60 to 65, who may be on the brink of retirement, according to the results. Why it pays to wait to claim Social Security benefitsEarly claiming will affect the size of your monthly Social Security checks. For each year delayed past full retirement age to age 70, 8% is added to Social Security benefits. By waiting up to age 70, retirees can lock in the biggest benefit checks available based on their work records.

Persons: —, Deb Boyden, Larry Kotlikoff, David Altig, Victor Yifan Ye, Kotlikoff Organizations: Istock, Getty Images Research, Social, Security, Social Security, Social Security Administration, Boston University, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Opendoor Technologies, Finance

☆ Another Wall Street bank throws in the towel on their 2023 recession call
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan is the latest bank on Wall Street to push out its recession forecast to 2024. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. The bank became the latest Wall Street bank to delay its recession forecast to 2024, if it happens at all. Bank of America became the first Wall Street bank earlier last week to delay its 2023 recession forecast. The most recent GDPNow estimate from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta suggests annualized GDP growth of 3.9% in the third-quarter.

Persons: Michael Feroli, Feroli Organizations: JPMorgan, Bank of America, Service, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ 3 signs the US economy is set to zoom past growth expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

On Thursday, new GDP data will show just how much the US economy grew between April and June. The US has also been experiencing a factory boom, with construction spending on US manufacturing nearly doubling from May 2022 to May 2023. Manufacturing employment recently hit its highest level since 2008, and since Biden took office, around 800,000 manufacturing jobs were added. In the first two quarters of this year, applications to start a business likely to hire employees grew 7% year-over-year. Sectors leading likely employer business applications include accommodation and food services, construction, health care and social assistance, and retail trade.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Joe, Biden, Ellen Zentner, Julia Coronado Organizations: Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Service, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Congressional, Investments, Economic, Sectors, National Association for Business Economics, Conference, CPI, Federal Locations: Wall, Silicon, —, Philadelphia, frastructure, Mississippi, North Carolina

☆ The US economy's brief moment of slowing inequality might be on its way out
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Income inequality has narrowed in the US, with low-wage workers receiving raises during the pandemic. This trend has been tapering off, though labor market competition has benefited wage growth. This was thanks to pre-pandemic minimum wage legislation, coupled with higher raises for lower wage workers in the tumultuous years that followed. Although low-wage workers have slightly narrowed the gap, corporate profits have boomed, allowing those at the very top to stay separated from the rest. In June 2022, low-wage workers saw 7.2% wage growth from the prior year, falling to 6.5% in June 2023.

Persons: It's, David Autor, Ford, Autor, Harry Holzer, John LaFarge Jr, SJ, Georgetown University's, Holzer, Biden, " Holzer Organizations: Service, National Bureau of Economic Research, Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, MIT Department of Economics, American Bar Association, Public, Georgetown, Georgetown University's McCourt School of Public, Federal Reserve Bank of, Economic Policy Institute Locations: Wall, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

☆ Kentucky man digs up 'insane' treasure trove of over 700 Civil War-era gold coins — and they could be worth millions
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-15 | by ( Alia Shoaib | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

A Kentucky man found a hoard of over 700 Civil War-era coins on his farm. The coins, which have been dubbed the "Great Kentucky Hoard," could be worth millions. The cache of gold coins, dubbed the "Great Kentucky Hoard," dates between 1840 and 1863, according to GovMint.com. "Those are all $1 gold coins, $20 gold coins, $10 gold coins." "The opportunity to handle the 'Great Kentucky Hoard' is one of the highlights of my career.

Persons: Jeff Garrett, Garrett, Ryan McNutt, Confederate John Hunt Morgan's Organizations: Service, Indians, Liberty Double Eagles, GovMint, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Numismatic Guaranty Company, Georgia Southern University, Confederate Locations: Kentucky, Wall, Silicon, Georgia

☆ The job market enters a new phase as the Great Resignation ends
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Samantha Delouya | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Amid a tight labor market, many were also able to find a better job, with better pay. The combination of a tight labor market and structural change from the pandemic catalyzed job reshuffling over the past three years, he said. The BLS shows the rate of job growth is up in the construction, manufacturing, health, education and food services industries. Despite the apparent end of the Great Resignation, the job market continues to hum along; the US economy added 339,000 jobs in May. The fact that quit rates are down indicates that there’s low confidence in the job market,” Kriegel said.

Persons: ”, Nicholas Bloom, that’s, “, Bloom, Nick Bunker, Jessica Kriegel, ” Kriegel, Bunker, “ There’s, there’s, ” Bunker Organizations: Los Angeles CNN, Federal Reserve, Stanford University, Bureau of Labor Statistics bolsters, Labor, BLS, Federal Reserve Bank of, Conference Board, Bed, Stanford, Workers, Gallup, Bank of America, Georgetown University Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

☆ Fed's Bostic says wants to 'wait and see' on rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

"The appropriate policy is really just to wait and see how much the economy slows from the policy actions that we've had," Bostic told CNBC, noting that for months he has believed the Fed would need to get short-term interest rates to the 5%-5.25% range where they are currently. "I think in the next several months the math is going to work in our favor, and the economy is going to work in our favor," Bostic told CNBC. Still, he said, "if there is going to be a bias to action, for me there would be a bias to increase a little further, as opposed to cut," Bostic said. The unemployment rate, at 3.4%, is the lowest it has been in more than 50 years. Even with some increase to that as inflation comes down, Bostic said, the economy would still be very strong.

☆ Morning Bid: Debt ceiling jitters, Turkey vote, Soros ditches Tesla
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

President Joe Biden is meeting Congressional leaders on Tuesday to try to hash out a compromise to raise the debt limit and avoid a catastrophic default. A regulatory filing on Friday from the family office of George Soros showed the 92-year old billionaire investor has sold his entire stake in Tesla. Soros bought shares in the electric vehicle maker, run by Elon Musk, in 2022, as well as convertible bonds in 2018. Soros wasn't alone in pulling out of some of the pandemic-era darlings in the first three months of the year. Friday's regulatory filing showed he loaded up on other big tech stocks, including Netflix, Uber, chipmaker Qualcomm and cloud-based data company Snowflake - which fellow 92-year old investor Warren Buffett bought into back in 2020.

☆ Remote Jobs Going Back to the Office, Outsourcing to Cheaper Workers
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Finding a remote job is getting more and more difficult. That's because competition for remote work in the US remains fierce, the number of job postings are on the decline, and some of the remote jobs that remain are being outsourced overseas. Companies are moving remote jobs overseasSome companies are embracing remote work, but not in the US. Instead, they're outsourcing jobs overseas and saving on labor costs. For Americans who are eager to snag that remote job, it's not all doom and gloom.

☆ Return to the office or see a pay cut: More and more companies are forcing remote workers to choose
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The law firm Davis Polk & Wardwell might cut employees' bonuses if they don't return to the office. "We're very focused on having our team in at the same time," Neil Barr, chair and managing partner at Davis Polk, told the Wall Street Journal. The era of widespread remote work might be coming to a close economy-wide, as firms tighten their belts and try to get their workers back in. As mass layoffs sweep some sectors that embraced remote work — like tech — companies that are letting workers go are increasingly asking for their remaining workforce to come back in. That's because even companies that have chosen to embrace remote work may be doing so in part because it allows them to pay workers less.

☆ More signs are pointing to an imminent slowdown in the US economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The US economy is showing signs of a sudden slowdown after a year of tightening financial conditions. "Expectations of tightening lending standards contributed to the market's concern that an economic slowdown is unfolding in real time," LPL said. A potential economic slowdown is also starting to show up in retail sales growth, which fell 0.4% in February. Mester's comments "contributed to the market's increasing concern that an economic slowdown is unfolding in real time," LPL's chief global strategist Quincy Krosby told Insider. First-quarter earnings season kicks off next week with the bank stocks, while the March jobs report will be released this Friday, when the stock market is closed for Good Friday.

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets rallied as Fed official renewed investors' hope for 25 basis-point hike
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Raphael Bostic, president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, at the a conference in Dallas, Texas, U.S., on Thursday, May 24, 2018. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Yet markets' fears were allayed mere hours later when Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic told the media he's in favor of lower — and slower — rate hikes. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

☆ CNBC Daily Open: A Fed official’s comments gave markets the confidence to rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets digested mixed messages on Thursday and eventually overcame fears of higher rates to stage a last-minute rally. Yet markets' fears were allayed mere hours later when Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic told the media he's in favor of lower — and slower — rate hikes. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

☆ Analysis: With record diversity on their boards, Fed bank chiefs see lower chances of policy error
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-24 | by ( Ann Saphir | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Fed bank directors generally stay out of the limelight, but many U.S. central bankers view them as a critical resource. "I think the probabilities are far higher of achieving that gentle transition, that smoother transition," San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly told Reuters in an interview. This year, of the 108 spots on the 12 Fed bank boards, 44% are filled by women, and 41% by people of color, a review of the data shows. Still, a majority of the Fed's economists are white men, as are its top two monetary policymakers: Powell and New York Fed President John Williams. Hispanics and Latinos, Menendez notes, are a fast-growing segment of the population but are underrepresented at the Fed at all levels, including on Fed bank boards.

☆ Another Stock Market Crash Coming, Wall Street's Top Investors Warn
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-22 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

This elation has lulled Wall Street into a false sense of security, according to the investing world's elite who I've spoken with over the past few weeks. It's like all the good little boys and girls on Wall Street asked for a rally for Christmas and got it. He added that nonprofessional retail investors' strong return to the market indicated an unsustainable rally. Anytime Wall Street has forgotten that over the past year, it has gotten punished. And that means Wall Street will eventually have to open its eyes, take its fingers out of its ears, and watch this bear-market rally fall apart.

☆ The High Price Retirees Pay for Collecting Social Security Too Early
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-18 | by ( Lisa Ward | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Researchers found that almost 90% of workers age 45 to 62 would benefit by waiting until age 70 to collect Social Security. It’s no secret that retirees are often better off waiting to collect Social Security benefits. But exactly how much money are people leaving on the table by taking benefits early? A recent study, funded by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, finds that retirees often give up tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands of dollars by taking Social Security benefits too early. That takes into account that if a retiree claims Social Security at age 70 instead of 62, the monthly benefit could be 76% higher, adjusted for inflation.

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